{"id":431,"date":"2009-12-17T13:04:28","date_gmt":"2009-12-17T17:04:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=431"},"modified":"2009-12-17T13:04:28","modified_gmt":"2009-12-17T17:04:28","slug":"hopefully-my-last-d-wave-post-ever","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=431","title":{"rendered":"Hopefully my last D-Wave post ever"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Several people asked me to comment on an <a href=\"http:\/\/googleresearch.blogspot.com\/2009\/12\/machine-learning-with-quantum.html\">entry by Hartmut Neven<\/a> in the Google Research Blog, about using D-Wave&#8217;s &#8220;quantum&#8221; computers for image recognition.<\/p>\n<p>I said nothing: what is there to say?\u00a0 Didn&#8217;t I already spend enough time on this subject for 10<sup>400<\/sup> lifetimes?\u00a0 I want to create, explore, discover things that no one expected&#8212;not be some talking-head playing his assigned role in a script, a blogger-pundit who journalists know they can rely on to say &#8220;f(X)&#8221; whenever X happens.\u00a0 Even if f(X) is true.\u00a0 Why can&#8217;t I just tell the world what f is and be done with it?<\/p>\n<p>Then <em>more<\/em> people asked me to comment.<\/p>\n<p>I set the matter aside.\u00a0 I worked on the complexity problem that&#8217;s currently obsessing me.\u00a0 I met with students, sent recommendation letters, answered emails, went ice-skating with my girlfriend.<\/p>\n<p>Then <em>more<\/em> people asked me to comment.<\/p>\n<p>And I thought: yes, I believe it&#8217;s vital for scientists to communicate with the broader public, not just a few colleagues.\u00a0 And yes, it&#8217;s important for scientists to offer a skeptical perspective on the news&#8212;since otherwise, they implicitly cede the field to those making dubious and unsubstantiated claims.\u00a0 And yes, blogging is a wonderful tool for scientists to connect directly with anyone in the world who&#8217;s curious about their work.\u00a0 But isn&#8217;t there some statute of limitations on a given story?\u00a0 When does it end?\u00a0 And why me?<\/p>\n<p>Then <em>more<\/em> people asked me to comment&#8212;so I wrote the following only-slightly-fictionalized exchange.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Skeptic:<\/strong> Let me see if I understand correctly.\u00a0 After three years, you still haven&#8217;t demonstrated two-qubit entanglement in a superconducting device (as the group at Yale appears to have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v460\/n7252\/full\/nature08121.html\">done recently<\/a>)?\u00a0 You still haven&#8217;t explained how your &#8220;quantum computer&#8221; demos actually exploit any quantum effects?\u00a0 While some of your employees are authoring or coauthoring perfectly-reasonable <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dwavesys.com\/index.php?page=publications\">papers<\/a> on various QC topics, those papers still bear essentially zero relation to your marketing hype?\u00a0 The academic physicists working on superconducting QC&#8212;who have no interest in being scooped&#8212;still pay almost no attention to you?\u00a0 So, what exactly has changed since the last ten iterations?\u00a0 Why are we still talking?<\/p>\n<p><strong>D-Wave:<\/strong> Then you must not have read our latest press release!\u00a0 Your questions are all obsolete, because now we&#8217;re recruiting thousands of volunteers <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dwavesys.com\/uploads\/whitepapers\/AQUA_white_paper.pdf\">over the Internet<\/a> to study the power of adiabatic quantum computing!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Onlooker:<\/strong> Hmm, an interesting counterargument!\u00a0 D-Wave might not be using quantum mechanics, but they <em>are<\/em> using the Internet!\u00a0 And their new project even has a cool code-name: &#8220;AQUA@home&#8221;!\u00a0 So, skeptic, how do you respond to <em>that<\/em>?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Skeptic (distractedly):<\/strong> You know, when I was eight years old, and dreamed of building starships and artificial intelligences in my basement, my first order of business was always to <em>invent code-names<\/em>&#8212;not just for the projects themselves, but for every little subcomponent of them.\u00a0 The second order of business was to think through the marketing aspects.\u00a0 What should the robot look like?\u00a0 What recreational facilities should be available on the starship, and what color should it be painted?\u00a0 It <em>really, genuinely<\/em> felt like I was making concrete progress toward realizing my plans.\u00a0 Sure, the engine and control system still needed to be built, but at least I had code-names and &#8220;design specs&#8221;!\u00a0 How many others had even gotten that far?<\/p>\n<p><strong>D-Wave:<\/strong> Who cares?\u00a0 This isn&#8217;t some children&#8217;s game.\u00a0 Keep in mind that we&#8217;re <em>delivering a product<\/em>&#8212;serving our customers, by solving the 4-by-4 Sudoku puzzles they rely on to keep their businesses running.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Skeptic:<\/strong> We&#8217;ve been through this how many times?\u00a0 A <em>pigeon<\/em> can probably be trained to solve 4-by-4 Sudokus.\u00a0 So the only relevant questions concern the details of <em>how<\/em> you solve them.\u00a0 For example, how do you encode a problem instance?\u00a0 How much of the work is done in the encoding procedure itself?\u00a0 What evidence do you have for quantum coherence at intermediate points of the computation?\u00a0 Can you measure an entanglement witness, to give people confidence that you&#8217;re doing <em>something<\/em> other than classical simulated annealing?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Onlooker:<\/strong> Hmm, those <em>do<\/em> seem like important questions&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>D-Wave:<\/strong> But they&#8217;re based on outdated premises!\u00a0 Today, we&#8217;re pleased to announce that, using what might be a quantum computer, and might also be a noisy, probabilistic classical computer, we can solve <em>5-by-5 Sudoku puzzles<\/em>!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Onlooker:<\/strong> Whoa, awesome!\u00a0 So we&#8217;re back to square one then.\u00a0 As long as D-Wave&#8217;s demos only involved 4-by-4 Sudokus, the skeptic&#8217;s arguments almost had me persuaded.\u00a0 But <em>5-by-5<\/em>?\u00a0 I don&#8217;t know <em>what <\/em>to think anymore.\u00a0 Skeptic, where are you?\u00a0 What&#8217;s your reaction to this latest development?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Skeptic:<\/strong> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>D-Wave:<\/strong> That silence you hear is the sound of the skeptic&#8217;s worldview crashing all around him!\u00a0 But we haven&#8217;t even played our top card yet.\u00a0 Today, we&#8217;re positively ecstatic to announce that we&#8217;ve entered into an official-sounding partnership with <strong><font size=\"+3\"><font color=\"blue\">G<\/font><font color=\"red\">O<\/font><font color=\"orange\">O<\/font><font color=\"blue\">G<\/font><font color=\"green\">L<\/font><font color=\"red\">E<\/font><\/font><\/strong>, Inc. (or anyway, with someone who works at Google Research).\u00a0 Together, we&#8217;re harnessing the power of quantum adiabatic optimization to create the next generation of car-recognition systems!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Onlooker:<\/strong> <em>WOW!<\/em>\u00a0 This debate is over, then.\u00a0 I confess: D-Wave on its own did seem a bit flaky to me.\u00a0 But <em>Google<\/em> is the company born without sin.\u00a0 Everything they do, have done, and will ever do is perfect by definition&#8212;from building the search engine that changed the world, to running mail servers that only fail for an <a href=\"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=428\">insignificant 0.001% of users<\/a>, to keeping the Chinese people safe from lies.\u00a0 And, as Google is infallible, so too its 20,000 diverse employees&#8212;who are encouraged to spend 20% of their time on high-risk, exploratory projects&#8212;have nevertheless failed to come up with a single idea that didn&#8217;t pan out.\u00a0 Skeptic, show your face!\u00a0 Will you admit that, through grit, moxie, old-fashioned Canadian inventiveness, and the transformative power of the Internet, D-Wave has finally achieved what the naysayers said was impossible&#8212;namely, getting someone from Google Research to coauthor a paper with them?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Skeptic:<\/strong> Yes.\u00a0 I concede!\u00a0 D-Wave wins, and I hereby retire as skeptic.\u00a0 In particular, the next time D-Wave announces something, there&#8217;s no need to ask me for my reaction.\u00a0 I&#8217;ll be busy tending to my own project, codenamed ARGHH@home, which consists of banging my head against a brick wall.<\/p>\n<p><input onclick=\"jsCall();\" id=\"jsProxy\" type=\"hidden\" \/> <input id=\"gwProxy\" type=\"hidden\" \/><!--Session data--><br \/>\n<input onclick=\"jsCall();\" id=\"jsProxy\" type=\"hidden\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Several people asked me to comment on an entry by Hartmut Neven in the Google Research Blog, about using D-Wave&#8217;s &#8220;quantum&#8221; computers for image recognition. I said nothing: what is there to say?\u00a0 Didn&#8217;t I already spend enough time on this subject for 10400 lifetimes?\u00a0 I want to create, explore, discover things that no one [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[4,16,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-quantum","category-rage-against-doofosity","category-speaking-truth-to-parallelism"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/431\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}