{"id":3766,"date":"2018-05-06T08:02:58","date_gmt":"2018-05-06T13:02:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=3766"},"modified":"2018-05-12T21:53:43","modified_gmt":"2018-05-13T02:53:43","slug":"the-zeroth-commandment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=3766","title":{"rendered":"The Zeroth Commandment"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">&#8220;I call heaven and earth to witness against you this day, that I have set before thee life and death, the blessing and the curse: therefore choose life, that thou mayest live, thou and thy seed.&#8221; &#8211;Deuteronomy 30:19<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">&#8220;Remember your humanity, and forget the rest.&#8221; &#8211;Bertrand Russell and Albert Einstein, 1955<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>I first met <a href=\"http:\/\/mason.gmu.edu\/~rhanson\/home.html\">Robin Hanson<\/a>, professor of economics at George Mason University, in 2005, after he and I had exchanged emails about <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Aumann%27s_agreement_theorem\">Aumann&#8217;s agreement theorem<\/a>.\u00a0 I&#8217;d previously read Robin&#8217;s paper about that theorem with Tyler Cowen, which is called\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/mason.gmu.edu\/~rhanson\/deceive.pdf\">Are Disagreements Honest?<\/a>, and which stands today as one of the most worldview-destabilizing documents I&#8217;ve ever read.\u00a0 In it, Robin and Tyler develop the argument that you <em>can&#8217;t<\/em>\u00a0(for example) assert that<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>you believe that extraterrestrial life probably exists,<\/li>\n<li>your best friend believes it probably doesn&#8217;t, and<\/li>\n<li>you and your friend are both honest, rational people who understand <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bayes%27_theorem\">Bayes&#8217; Theorem<\/a>; you just have a reasonable difference of opinion about the alien question, presumably rooted in differing life experiences or temperaments.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>For if, to borrow a phrase from Carl Sagan, you &#8220;wish to pursue the question courageously,&#8221; then you need to consider &#8220;indexical hypotheticals&#8221;: possible worlds where you and your friend swapped identities.\u00a0 As far as the Bayesian math is concerned, the fact that you&#8217;re you, and your friend is your friend, is just one more contingent fact to conditionalize on: something that might affect what private knowledge you have, but that has no bearing on whether extraterrestrial life exists or doesn&#8217;t.\u00a0 Once you grasp this point, so the argument goes, you should be just as troubled by the fact that your friend disagrees with you, as you would be were the disagreement between two different aspects of your self.\u00a0 To put it differently: there might be a billion flavors of irrationality, but insofar as people can talk to each other and are honest and rational, they should converge on <em>exactly<\/em> the same conclusions about every matter of fact, even ones as remote-sounding as the existence of extraterrestrial life.<\/p>\n<p>When I read this, my first reaction was that it was absurdly wrong and laughable.\u00a0 I confess that I was even\u00a0<em>angry<\/em>, to see something so counter to everything I knew asserted with such blithe professorial confidence.\u00a0 Yet, in a theme that will surely be familiar with anyone who&#8217;s engaged with Robin or his writing, I struggled to articulate exactly\u00a0<em>why<\/em> the argument was wrong.\u00a0 My first guess was that, just like typical straitjacketed economists, Robin and Tyler had simply forgotten that real humans lack unlimited time to think and converse with each other.\u00a0 Putting those obvious limitations back into the theory, I felt, would surely reinstate the verdict of common sense, that <em>of course<\/em> two people can agree to disagree without violating any dictates of rationality.<\/p>\n<p>Now, if only I&#8217;d had the benefit of a modern education on Twitter and Facebook, I would&#8217;ve known that I could&#8217;ve stopped right there, with the first counterargument that popped into my head.\u00a0 I could&#8217;ve posted something like the following on all my social media accounts:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">&#8220;Hanson and Cowen, typical narrow-minded economists, ludicrously claim that rational agents with common priors can&#8217;t agree to disagree.\u00a0They stupidly ignore the immense communication and computation that reaching agreement would take.\u00a0 Why are these clowns allowed to teach?\u00a0 SAD!&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Alas, back in 2003, I hadn&#8217;t yet been exposed to the epistemological revolution wrought by the 280-character smackdown, so I got the idea into my head that I actually needed to <em>prove<\/em> my objection was as devastating as I thought.\u00a0 So I sat down with pen and paper for some hours&#8212;and discovered, to my astonishment, that my objection didn&#8217;t work at all.\u00a0 According to my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scottaaronson.com\/papers\/agreestoc.pdf\">complexity-theoretic refinement of Aumann&#8217;s agreement theorem<\/a>, which I later published in STOC&#8217;2005, two Bayesian agents with a common prior <em>can<\/em> ensure that they agree to within\u00a0\u00b1\u03b5 about the value of a [0,1]-valued random variable, with probability at least 1-\u03b4 over their shared prior, by exchanging only O(1\/(\u03b4\u03b5<sup>2<\/sup>)) bits of information&#8212;completely independent of how much knowledge the agents have.\u00a0 My conclusion was that, if Aumann&#8217;s Nobel-prizewinning theorem fails to demonstrate the irrationality of real-life disagreements, then it&#8217;s <em>not<\/em> for reasons of computational or communication efficiency; it has to be for other reasons instead.\u00a0 (See also my <a href=\"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=2410\">talk on this at the SPARC summer camp<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>In my and Robin&#8217;s conversations&#8212;first about Aumann&#8217;s theorem, then later about the foundations of quantum mechanics and AI and politics and everything else you can imagine&#8212;Robin was unbelievably generous with his time and insights, willing to spend days with me, then a totally unknown postdoc, to get to the bottom of whatever was the dispute at hand.\u00a0 When I visited Robin at George Mason, I got to meet his wife and kids, and see for myself the almost comical contrast between the conventional nature of his family life and the destabilizing radicalism (some would say near-insanity) of his thinking.\u00a0 But I&#8217;ll say this for Robin: I&#8217;ve met many eccentric intellectuals in my life, but I have yet to meet\u00a0<em>anyone<\/em> whose curiosity is more genuine than Robin&#8217;s, or whose doggedness in following a chain of reasoning is more untouched by considerations of what all the cool people will say about him at the other end.<\/p>\n<p>So if you believe that the life of the mind benefits from a true diversity of opinions, from thinkers who defend positions that <em>actually<\/em> differ in novel and interesting ways from what everyone else is saying&#8212;then no matter how vehemently you disagree with any of his views, Robin seems like the prototype of what you want more of in academia.\u00a0 To anyone who claims that Robin&#8217;s apparent incomprehension of moral taboos, his puzzlement about social norms, are mere affectations masking some sinister Koch-brothers agenda, I reply: I&#8217;ve known Robin for years, and while I might be ignorant of many things, on <em>this<\/em> I know you&#8217;re mistaken.\u00a0 Call him wrongheaded, na\u00efve, tone-deaf, insensitive, even an asshole, but don&#8217;t ever accuse him of insincerity or hidden agendas.\u00a0 Are his <em>open, stated<\/em> agendas not wild enough for you??<\/p>\n<p>In my view, any assessment of Robin&#8217;s abrasive, tone-deaf, and sometimes even offensive intellectual style has to grapple with the fact that, over his career, Robin has originated not one but several hugely\u00a0important ideas&#8212;and his ability to do so strikes me as clearly\u00a0related to his style, not easily detachable from it.\u00a0 Most famously, Robin is one of the major developers of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Prediction_market\">prediction markets<\/a>, and also the inventor of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Futarchy\">futarchy<\/a>&#8212;a proposed system of government that would harness prediction markets to get well-calibrated assessments of the effects of various policies.\u00a0 Robin also first articulated the concept of the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Great_Filter\">Great Filter<\/a> in the evolution of life in our universe.\u00a0 It&#8217;s Great Filter reasoning that tells us, for example, that if we ever discover fossil microbial life on Mars (or worse yet, simple plants and animals on extrasolar planets), then we should be <em>terrified<\/em>, because it would mean that several solutions to the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Fermi_paradox\">Fermi paradox<\/a> that <em>don&#8217;t<\/em> involve civilizations like ours killing themselves off would have been eliminated.\u00a0 Sure, once you say it, it sounds pretty obvious &#8230; but did <em>you<\/em> think of it?<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this year, Robin published a book together with Kevin Simler, entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Elephant-Brain-Hidden-Motives-Everyday\/dp\/0190495995\"><em>The Elephant In The Brain: Hidden Motives In Everyday Life<\/em><\/a>.\u00a0 I was happy to provide feedback on the manuscript and then to offer a jacket blurb (though the publisher cut nearly everything I wrote, leaving only that I considered the book &#8220;a masterpiece&#8221;).\u00a0 The book&#8217;s basic thesis is that a huge fraction of human behavior, possibly the majority of it, is less about its ostensible purpose than about <em>signalling what kind of people we are<\/em>&#8212;and that this has implications for healthcare and education spending, among many other topics.\u00a0 (Thus, the book covers some of the same ground as <em>The Case Against Education<\/em>, by Robin&#8217;s GMU colleague Bryan Caplan, which I <a href=\"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=3678\">reviewed here<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p>I view <em>The Elephant In The Brain<\/em> as Robin&#8217;s finest work so far, though a huge part of the credit surely goes to Kevin Simler.\u00a0 Robin&#8217;s writing style tends to be &#8230; spare.\u00a0 telegraphic.\u00a0 He gives you the skeleton of an argument, but leaves it to you to add the flesh, the historical context and real-world examples and caveats.\u00a0 And he never holds your hand by saying anything like: &#8220;I know this is going to sound weird, but&#8230;&#8221;\u00a0 Robin doesn&#8217;t <em>care<\/em> how weird it sounds.\u00a0 With EITB, you get the best of both worlds: Robin&#8217;s unique-on-this-planet trains of logic, and Kevin&#8217;s considerable gifts at engaging prose.\u00a0 It&#8217;s a powerful combination.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m by no means an unqualified Hanson fan.\u00a0 If you&#8217;ve ever felt completely infuriated by Robin&#8212;if you&#8217;ve ever thought, fine, maybe this guy turned out to be unpopularly right some other times, but <em>this<\/em> time he&#8217;s really just being willfully and even dangerously obtuse&#8212;then know that I&#8217;ve shared that feeling more than most over the past decade.\u00a0 I recall in particular a lecture that Robin gave years ago in which he argued&#8212;and I apologize to Robin if I mangle a detail, but this was definitely the essence&#8212;that <em>even if<\/em>\u00a0you grant that anthropogenic climate change will destroy human civilization and most complex ecosystems hundreds of years from now, that&#8217;s not necessarily something you should worry about, because if you apply the standard exponential time-discounting that economists apply to everything else, along with reasonable estimates for the monetary value of everything on earth, you discover that <em>all life on earth<\/em> centuries from now just isn&#8217;t worth very much in today&#8217;s dollars.<\/p>\n<p>On hearing this, the familiar Hanson-emotions filled me: White-hot, righteous rage.\u00a0 Zeal to cut Robin down, put him in his place, for the sake of all that&#8217;s decent in humanity.\u00a0 And then &#8230; confusion about <em>where exactly<\/em> his argument fails.<\/p>\n<p>For whatever it&#8217;s worth, I&#8217;d probably say today that Robin is wrong on this, because economists&#8217; exponential discounting implicitly assumes that civilization&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=3654\">remarkable progress<\/a> of the last few centuries will continue unabated, which is the very point that the premise of the exercise denies.\u00a0 But notice what I <em>can&#8217;t<\/em> say: &#8220;shut up Robin, we&#8217;ve all heard this right-wing libertarian nonsense before.&#8221;\u00a0 Even when Robin spouts nonsense, it&#8217;s often nonsense that\u00a0<em>no one<\/em>\u00a0has heard before, brought back from intellectual continents that wouldn&#8217;t be on the map had Robin not existed.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>So why am I writing about Robin now?\u00a0 If you haven&#8217;t been living in a non-wifi-equipped cave, you probably know the answer.<\/p>\n<p>A week ago, alas, Robin <a href=\"http:\/\/www.overcomingbias.com\/2018\/04\/two-types-of-envy.html\">blogged his confusion<\/a> about why the people most concerned about inequalities of wealth, never seem to be concerned about inequalities of romantic and sexual fulfillment&#8212;even though, in other contexts, those same people would probably affirm that relationships are much more important to their personal happiness than wealth is.\u00a0 As a predictable result of his prodding this angriest hornet&#8217;s-nest on the planet, Robin has now been pilloried all over the Internet, in terms that make the attacks on me three years ago over the comment-171 affair look tender and kind by comparison.\u00a0 The attacks included a <em>Slate<\/em> hit-piece entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/business\/2018\/04\/economist-robin-hanson-might-be-americas-creepiest-professor.html\">&#8220;Is Robin Hanson America&#8217;s Creepiest Economist?&#8221;<\/a>\u00a0(though see also this <a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/comments\/business\/2018\/05\/robin-hanson-the-sex-redistribution-professor-interviewed.html\">in-depth followup interview<\/a>), a <em>Wonkette<\/em> post entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/wonkette.com\/633206\/the-week-in-garbage-men-incels-sympathizers-make-case-for-redistribution-of-vaginas\">&#8220;This Week In Garbage Men: Incels Sympathizers [sic] Make Case for Redistribution of Vaginas,&#8221;<\/a>\u00a0and much more.\u00a0 Particularly on Twitter, Robin&#8217;s attackers have tended to use floridly profane language, and to target his physical appearance and assumed sexual proclivities and frustrations; some call for his firing or death.\u00a0 I won&#8217;t link to the stuff; you can find it.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, many of the Twitter attacks assume that Robin himself\u00a0must be an angry &#8220;incel&#8221; (short for &#8220;involuntary celibate&#8221;), since who else could treat that particular form of human suffering as worthy of reply?\u00a0 Few seem to have done the 10-second research to learn that, in reality, Robin is a happily married father of two.<\/p>\n<p>I noticed the same strange phenomenon during the comment-171 affair: commentators on both left and right wanted to make me the poster child for &#8220;incels,&#8221; with a few offering me advice, many swearing they would&#8217;ve guessed it immediately from my photograph.\u00a0 People apparently didn&#8217;t read just a few paragraphs into my story&#8212;to the part where, once I finally acquired some of the norms that mainstream culture refuses to tell people, I enjoyed a normal or even <em>good<\/em> dating life, eventually marrying a brilliant fellow theoretical computer scientist, with whom I started raising a rambunctious daughter (who&#8217;s now 5, and who&#8217;s been joined by our 1-year-old son).\u00a0 If not for this happy ending, I too might have entertained my critics&#8217; elaborate theories about my refusal to accept my biological inferiority, my simply having lost the genetic lottery (ability to do quantum computing research notwithstanding).\u00a0 But what can one do faced with the facts?<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>For the record: I think that Robin should never, ever have made this comparison, and I wish he&#8217;d apologize for it now.\u00a0 Had he asked my advice, I would&#8217;ve screamed <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>&#8220;DON&#8217;T DO IT&#8221;<\/strong><\/span> at the top of my lungs.\u00a0 I once contemplated such a comparison myself&#8212;and even though it was many years ago, in the depths of a terrifying relapse of the suicidal depression that had characterized much of my life, I still count it among my greatest regrets.\u00a0 I hereby renounce and disown the comparison forever.\u00a0 And I beg forgiveness from anyone who was hurt or offended by it&#8212;or for that matter, by anything else I ever said, on this blog or elsewhere.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, let me go further: if you were ever hurt or offended by anything I said, and if I can make partial restitution to you by taking some time to field your questions about quantum computing and information, or math, CS, and physics more generally, or academic career advice, or anything else where I&#8217;m said to know something, please shoot me an email.\u00a0 I&#8217;m also open to donating to your favorite charity.<\/p>\n<p>My view is this: the world in which a comparison between the sufferings of the romantically and the monetarily impoverished could increase normal people&#8217;s understanding of the former, is so different from our world as to be nearly unrecognizable.\u00a0 To say that this comparison is outside the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Overton_window\">Overton window<\/a> is a comic understatement: it&#8217;s outside the Overton galaxy.\u00a0\u00a0Trying to have the conversation that Robin wanted to have on social media, is a little like trying to have a conversation about microaggressions in 1830s Alabama.\u00a0 At first, your listeners will simply be confused&#8212;but their confusion will be highly unstable, like a Higgs boson, and will decay in about 10<sup>-22<\/sup> seconds into righteous rage.<\/p>\n<p>For experience shows that, if you even breathe a phrase like &#8220;the inequality of romantic and sexual fulfillment,&#8221; <em>no one<\/em>\u00a0who isn&#8217;t weird in certain ways common in the hard sciences (e.g., being on the autism spectrum) will be able to parse you as saying anything other than that sex ought to be &#8220;redistributed&#8221; by the government in the same way that money is redistributed, which in turn suggests a dystopian horror scenario where women are treated like property, married against their will, and raped.\u00a0 And it won&#8217;t help if you shout from the rooftops that you want nothing of this kind, oppose it as vehemently as your listeners do.\u00a0 For, not knowing what else you could mean, the average person will continue to impose the nightmare scenario on anything you say, and will add evasiveness and dishonesty to the already severe charges against you.<\/p>\n<p>Before going any further in this post, let me now say that any male who wants to call himself my ideological ally ought to agree to the following statement.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><strong>I hold the bodily autonomy of women&#8212;the principle that women are freely-willed agents rather than the chattel they were treated as for too much of human history; that they, not their fathers or husbands or anyone else, are the sole rulers of their bodies; and that they must never under any circumstances be touched without their consent&#8212;to be my Zeroth Commandment, the foundation-stone of my moral worldview, the starting point of every action I take and every thought I think.\u00a0 This principle of female bodily autonomy, for me, deserves to be chiseled onto tablets of sapphire, placed in a golden ark adorned with winged cherubim sitting atop a pedestal inside the Holy of Holies in a temple on Mount Moriah.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This, or something close to it, is really what I believe.\u00a0 And I advise any lonely young male nerd who might be reading this blog to commit to the Zeroth Commandment as well, and to the precepts of feminism more broadly.<\/p>\n<p>To such a nerd, I say: yes, throughout your life you&#8217;ll encounter many men and women who will despise you for being different, in ways that you\u2019re either powerless to change, or could change only at the cost of renouncing everything you are.\u00a0 Yet, far from excusing any moral lapses on your part, this hatred simply means that you need to adhere to a <em>higher<\/em> moral standard than most people.\u00a0 For whenever you stray even slightly from the path of righteousness, the people who detest nerds will leap excitedly, seeing irrefutable proof of all their prejudices.\u00a0 Do not grant them that victory.\u00a0 Do not create a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.treppenwitz.com\/2007\/03\/a_shanda_fur_di.html\">Shanda<\/a> fur die Normies.<\/p>\n<p>I wish I believed in a God who could grant you some kind of eternal salvation, in return for adhering to a higher moral standard throughout your life, and getting in return at best grudging toleration, as well as lectures about your feminist failings by guys who&#8217;ve obeyed the Zeroth Commandment about a thousandth as scrupulously as you have.\u00a0 As an atheist, though, the most I can offer you is that you can probably understand the proof of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Cantor%27s_theorem\">Cantor\u2019s theorem<\/a>, while most of those who despise you probably can&#8217;t.\u00a0 And also: as impossible as it might seem right now, there are ways that <em>even you<\/em> can pursue the ordinary, non-intellectual kinds of happiness in life, and there will be many individuals along the way ready to help you: the ones who remember their humanity and forget their ideology.\u00a0 I wish you the best.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Amid the many vitriolic responses to Robin&#8212;fanned, it must be admitted, by Robin&#8217;s own refusal to cede any ground to his critics, or to modulate his style or tone in the slightest&#8212;the one striking outlier was a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/05\/02\/opinion\/incels-sex-robots-redistribution.html\"><em>New York Times<\/em> essay by Ross Douthat<\/a>.\u00a0 This essay, which has itself now been widely panned, uses Robin as an example of how, in Douthat&#8217;s words, &#8220;[s]ometimes the extremists and radicals and weirdos see the world more clearly than the respectable and moderate and sane.<em class=\"css-2fg4z9 ehxkw330\">&#8220;<\/em>\u00a0 Douthat draws an interesting parallel between Robin and the leftist feminist philosopher Amia Srinivasan, who recently published a beautifully-written essay in the <em>London Review of Books<\/em> entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lrb.co.uk\/v40\/n06\/amia-srinivasan\/does-anyone-have-the-right-to-sex\">Does anyone have the right to sex?<\/a>\u00a0 In analyzing that question, Srinivasan begins by discussing male &#8220;incels,&#8221; but then shifts her attention to far more sympathetic cases: women and men suffering severe physical or mental disabilities (and who, in some countries, can already hire sexual surrogates with government support); who were disfigured by accidents; who are treated as undesirable for racist reasons.\u00a0 Let me quote from her conclusion:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span class=\"smallcapslede\">The question<\/span>, then, is how to dwell in the ambivalent place where we acknowledge that no one is obligated to desire anyone else, that no one has a right to be desired, but also that who is desired and who isn\u2019t is a political question, a question usually answered by more general patterns of domination and exclusion &#8230;\u00a0the radical self-love movements among black, fat and disabled women do ask us to treat our sexual preferences as less than perfectly fixed. \u2018Black is beautiful\u2019 and \u2018Big is beautiful\u2019 are not just slogans of empowerment, but proposals for a revaluation of our values &#8230;\u00a0The question posed by radical self-love movements is not whether there is a right to sex (there isn\u2019t), but whether there is a duty to transfigure, as best we can, our desires.<\/p>\n<p>All over social media, there are howls of outrage that Douthat would dare to mention Srinivasan&#8217;s essay, which is wise and nuanced and humane, in the same breath as the gross, creepy, entitled rantings of Robin Hanson.\u00a0 I would say: grant that Srinivasan and Hanson express themselves extremely differently, and also that Srinivasan is a trillion times better than Hanson at anticipating and managing her readers&#8217; reactions.\u00a0 Still, on the merits, is there any relevant difference between the two cases beyond: &#8220;undesirability&#8221; of the disabled, fat, and trans should be critically examined and interrogated, because those people are objects of progressive sympathy; whereas &#8220;undesirability&#8221; of nerdy white and Asian males should be taken as a brute fact or even celebrated, because those\u00a0people are objects of progressive contempt?<\/p>\n<p>To be fair, a Google search also turns up progressives who, dissenting from the above consensus, excoriate Srinivasan for her foray, however thoughtful, into taboo territory.\u00a0 As best I can tell, the dissenters&#8217; argument runs like so: as much as it might pain us, we must<em>\u00a0not<\/em> show any compassion to women and men who are suicidally lonely and celibate by virtue of being severely disabled, disfigured, trans, or victims of racism.\u00a0 For if we did, then consistency might eventually force us to show compassion to white male nerds as well.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the central point that I think Robin failed to understand: society, today, is not on board even with the minimal claim that the suicidal suffering of men left behind by the sexual revolution <em>really exists<\/em>&#8212;or, if it does, that it\u00a0<em>matters in the slightest<\/em>\u00a0or <em>deserves any sympathy or acknowledgment whatsoever<\/em>.\u00a0 Indeed, the men in question pretty much <em>need<\/em>\u00a0to be demonized as entitled losers and creeps, because if they weren&#8217;t, then sympathy for them&#8212;at least, for those among them who are friends, coworkers, children, siblings&#8212;might become hard to prevent.\u00a0 In any event, it seems to me that until we as a society resolve the preliminary question, of whether to recognize a certain category of suffering as real, there&#8217;s no point even discussing how policy or culture might help to address the suffering, consistently with the Zeroth Commandment.<\/p>\n<p>Seen in this light, Robin is a bit like the people who email me every week imagining they can prove P\u2260NP, yet who can&#8217;t even prove astronomically easier statements, even ones that are already known.\u00a0 When trying to scale an intellectual Everest, you might as well start with the weakest\u00a0statement that&#8217;s already unproven or non-obvious or controversial.<\/p>\n<p>So where are we today?\u00a0 Within the current Overton window,\u00a0a perfectly appropriate response to suicidal loneliness and depression among the &#8220;privileged&#8221; (i.e., straight, able-bodied, well-educated white or Asian men) seems to be: &#8220;just kill yourselves already, you worthless cishet scum, and remove your garbage DNA from the gene pool.&#8221;\u00a0 If you think I&#8217;m exaggerating, I beseech you to check for yourself on Twitter.\u00a0 I predict you&#8217;ll find that and much worse, wildly upvoted, by people who probably go to sleep every night congratulating themselves for their progressivism, their egalitarianism, and&#8212;of course&#8212;their burning hatred for anything that smacks of eugenics.<\/p>\n<p>A few days ago, Ellen Pao, the influential former CEO of Reddit, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ekp\/status\/991817194987114496\">tweeted<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">CEOs of big tech companies: You almost certainly have incels as employees. What are you going to do about it?<\/p>\n<p>Thankfully, even many leftists reacted with horror to Pao&#8217;s profoundly illiberal question.\u00a0 They wondered about the logistics she had in mind: does she want tech companies to spy on their (straight, male) employees&#8217; sex lives, or lack thereof?\u00a0 If any are discovered who are (1) celibate and (2) bitter at the universe about it, then will it be an adequate defense against firing if they&#8217;re <em>also<\/em> feminists, who condemn misogyny and violence and affirm the Zeroth Commandment?\u00a0 Is it not enough that these men were permanently denied the third level of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/incel-ellen-pao-reddit-silicon-valley-involuntary-celibate-tech-gender-910107\">Maslow&#8217;s hierarchy of needs<\/a>\u00a0(the one right above physical safety); must they also\u00a0be denied careers as a result?\u00a0 And is this supposed to <em>prevent<\/em> their radicalization?<\/p>\n<p>For me, the scariest part of Pao&#8217;s proposal is that, whatever in this field is on the leftmost fringe of the Overton window today, experience suggests we&#8217;ll find it smack in the center a decade from now.\u00a0 So picture a future wherein, if you <em>don&#8217;t<\/em> support rounding up and firing your company&#8217;s romantically frustrated&#8212;i.e., the policy of &#8220;if you don&#8217;t get laid, you don&#8217;t get paid&#8221;&#8212;then that itself is a shockingly reactionary attitude, and grounds for your own dismissal.<\/p>\n<p>Some people might defend Pao by pointing out that she was only asking a question, not proposing a specific policy.\u00a0 But then, the same is true of Robin Hanson.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Why is it so politically difficult even to show empathy toward socially awkward, romantically challenged men&#8212;to say to them,\u00a0<em>&#8220;look, I don&#8217;t know what if anything can be done about your problem, but yeah, the sheer cosmic arbitrariness of it kind of sucks, and I sympathize with you&#8221;<\/em>?\u00a0 Why do enlightened progressives, if they do offer such words of comfort to their &#8220;incel&#8221; friends, seem to feel about it the same way Huck Finn did, at the <a href=\"https:\/\/americanliterature.com\/author\/mark-twain\/book\/the-adventures-of-huckleberry-finn\/chapter-31\">pivotal moment in Western literature<\/a> when he decides to help his friend Jim escape from slavery&#8212;i.e., not beaming with pride over his own moral courage, but <em>ashamed\u00a0of himself<\/em>, and resigned that he&#8217;ll burn in hell for the sake of a mere personal friendship?<\/p>\n<p>This is a puzzle, but I think I might know the answer.\u00a0 We begin with the observation that virtually every news article, every thinkpiece, every blog post about &#8220;incels,&#8221; fronts contemptible mass murderers like Elliot Rodger and Alek Minassian, who sought bloody revenge on a world that failed to provide them the women to whom they felt entitled; as well as various Internet forums (many recently shut down) where this subhuman scum was celebrated by other scum.<\/p>\n<p>The question is: why don&#8217;t people look at the broader picture, as they&#8217;ve learned to do in so many other cases?\u00a0 In other words, why don&#8217;t they say:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>There <em>really do<\/em> exist extremist Muslims, who bomb schools and buses, or cheer and pass out candies when that happens, and who wish to put the entire world under Sharia on point of the sword.\u00a0 Fortunately, the extremists are outnumbered by hundreds of millions of reasonable Muslims, with whom anyone, even a Zionist Jew like me, can have a friendly conversation in which we discuss our respective cultures&#8217; grievances and how they might be addressed in a win-win manner.\u00a0 (My conversations with Iranian friends sometimes end with us musing that, if only they made them Ayatollah and me Israeli Prime Minister, we could sign a peace accord next week, then go out for kebabs and babaganoush.)<\/li>\n<li>There <em>really are<\/em> extremist leftists&#8212;Marxist-Leninist-Maoist-whateverists&#8212;who smash store windows, kill people (or did, in the 60s), and won&#8217;t be satisfied by anything short of the total abolition of private property and the heads of the capitalists lining the streets on pikes.\u00a0 But they&#8217;re vastly outnumbered by the moderate progressives, like me, who are less about proletarian revolution than they are about universal healthcare, federal investment in science and technology, a carbon tax, separation of church and state, and stronger protection of national parks.<\/li>\n<li>In exactly the same way, there are &#8220;incel extremists,&#8221; like Rodger or Minassian, spiteful losers who go on killing sprees because society didn&#8217;t give them the sex they were &#8220;owed.&#8221;\u00a0 But they&#8217;re outnumbered by tens of millions of decent, peaceful people who could reasonably be called &#8220;incels&#8221;&#8212;those who desperately want romantic relationships but are unable to achieve them, because of extreme shyness, poor social skills, tics, autism-spectrum traits, lack of conventional attractiveness, bullying, childhood traumas, etc.&#8212;yet who&#8217;d never hurt a fly.\u00a0 These moderates need not be &#8220;losers&#8221; in all aspects of life: many have fulfilling careers and volunteer and give to charity and love their nieces and nephews, some are world-renowned scientists and writers.\u00a0 For many of the moderates, it might be true that recent cultural shifts exacerbated their problems; that an unlucky genetic dice-roll &#8220;optimized&#8221; them for a world that no longer exists.\u00a0 These people deserve the sympathy and support of the more fortunate among us; they constitute a political bloc entitled to advocate for its interests, as other blocs do; and all decent people should care about how we might help them, consistently with the Zeroth Commandment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The puzzle, again, is: why doesn&#8217;t anyone say this?<\/p>\n<p>And I think the answer is simply that\u00a0<em>no one ever hears from &#8220;moderate incels.&#8221;<\/em>\u00a0 And the reason, in turn, becomes obvious the instant you think about it.\u00a0 Would <em>you<\/em> volunteer to march at the front of the Lifelong Celibacy Awareness Parade?\u00a0 Or to be identified by name as the Vice President of the League of Peaceful and Moderate Incels?\u00a0 Would you\u00a0accept such a social death warrant?\u00a0 It takes an individual with extraordinary moral courage, such as Scott Alexander, even to write <a href=\"http:\/\/slatestarcodex.com\/2014\/08\/31\/radicalizing-the-romanceless\/\">anything whatsoever<\/a> about this issue that tries to understand or help the sufferers rather than condemn them.\u00a0 For this reason&#8212;i.e., purely, 100% a selection effect, nothing more&#8212;the only times the wider world ever hears anything about &#8220;incels&#8221; is when some despicable lunatic like Rodger or Minassian snaps and murders the innocent.\u00a0 You might call this the worst PR problem in the history of the world.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>So what&#8217;s the solution?\u00a0 While I&#8217;m not a Christian, I find that Jesus&#8217; prescription of universal compassion has a great deal to recommend it here&#8212;applied liberally, like suntan lotion, to every corner of the bitter &#8220;SJW vs. incel&#8221; online debate.<\/p>\n<p>The usual stereotype of nerds is that, while we might be good at memorizing facts or proving theorems or coding up filesystems, we&#8217;re horrendously deficient in empathy and compassion, constantly wanting to reduce human emotions to numbers in spreadsheets or something.\u00a0 As I&#8217;ve remarked elsewhere, I&#8217;ve scarcely encountered any stereotype that rings falser to my experience.\u00a0 In my younger, depressed phase, when I was metaphorically hanging on to life by my fingernails, it was nerds and social misfits who offered me their hands up, while many of the &#8220;normal, well-adjusted, socially competent&#8221; people gleefully stepped on my fingers.<\/p>\n<p>But my aspiration is not merely that we nerds can do just as well at compassion as those who hate us.\u00a0 Rather, I hope we can do better.\u00a0 This isn&#8217;t actually such an ambitious goal.\u00a0 To achieve it, all we need to do is show universal, Jesus-style compassion, to politically favored and disfavored groups alike.<\/p>\n<p>To me that means: compassion for the woman facing sexual harassment, or simply quizzical glances that wonder what she thinks she&#8217;s doing pursuing a PhD in physics.\u00a0 Compassion for the cancer patient, for the bereaved parent, for the victim of famine.\u00a0 Compassion for the undocumented immigrant facing deportation.\u00a0 Compassion for the LGBT man or woman dealing with self-doubts, ridicule, and abuse.\u00a0 Compassion for the nerdy male facing suicidal depression because modern dating norms, combined with his own shyness and fear of rule-breaking, have left him unable to pursue romance or love.\u00a0 Compassion for the woman who feels like an ugly, overweight, unlovable freak who no one will ask on dates.\u00a0 Compassion for the African-American victim of police brutality.\u00a0 Compassion even for the pedophile who&#8217;d sooner kill himself than hurt a child, but who&#8217;s been given no support for curing or managing his condition.\u00a0 This is what I advocate.\u00a0 This is my platform.<\/p>\n<p>If I ever decided to believe the portrait of me painted by <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Arthur_Chu\">Arthur Chu<\/a>, or the other anti-Aaronson Twitter warriors, then I hope I&#8217;d have the moral courage to complete their unstated modus ponens, by quietly swallowing a bottle of sleeping pills.\u00a0 After all, Chu&#8217;s vision of the ideal future seems to have no more room for me in it than Eichmann&#8217;s did.\u00a0 But the paradoxical corollary is that, every time I remind myself why I think Chu is wrong, it feels like a splendorous affirmation of life itself.\u00a0 I affirm my love for my wife and children and parents and brother, my bonds with my friends around the world, the thrill of tackling a new research problem and sharing my progress with colleagues, the joy of mentoring students of every background and religion and gender identity, the smell of fresh-baked soft pretzels and the beauty of the full moon over the Mediterranean.\u00a0 If I had to find pearls in manure, I&#8217;d say: with their every attack, the people who hate me give me a brand-new opportunity to choose life over death, and better yet to choose compassion over hatred&#8212;even compassion for the haters themselves.<\/p>\n<p>(Far be it from me to psychoanalyze him, as he constantly does to me, but Chu&#8217;s unremitting viciousness doesn&#8217;t strike\u00a0me as coming from a place of any great happiness with his life.\u00a0 So I say: may even Mr. Chu find whatever he&#8217;s looking for.\u00a0 And while his utopia might have no place for me, I&#8217;m determined that mine should have a place for him&#8212;even if it&#8217;s just playing <em>Jeopardy!\u00a0<\/em>and jumping around to find the Daily Doubles.)<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a commonplace that sometimes, the only way you can get a transformative emotional experience&#8212;like awe at watching the first humans walk on the moon, or joy at reuniting with a loved one after a transatlantic flight&#8212;is on top of a mountain of coldly rational engineering and planning.\u00a0 But the current Robin Hanson affair reminds us that the converse is true as well.\u00a0 I.e., the only way we can have the sort of austere, logical, norm-flouting conversations about the social world that Robin has been seeking to have for decades, without the whole thing exploding in thermonuclear anger, is on top of a mountain of empathy and compassion.\u00a0 So let&#8217;s start building that mountain.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><b>Endnotes.<\/b> Already, in my mind&#8217;s eye, I can see the Twitter warriors copying and sharing whichever sentence of this post angered them the most, using it as proof that I&#8217;m some lunatic who should never be listened to about anything. I&#8217;m practically on my hands and knees begging you here: <i>show that my fears are unjustified.<\/i>\u00a0 Respond, by all means, but respond to the entirety of what I had to say.<\/p>\n<p>I welcome comments, so long as they&#8217;re written in a spirit of kindness and mutual respect. But because writing this post was emotionally and spiritually draining for me&#8211;not to mention draining in, you know, <i>time<\/i>&#8212;I hope readers won&#8217;t mind if I spend a day or two away, with my wife and kids and my research, before participating in the comments myself.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><b>Update (May 7).<\/b>\u00a0Numerous commenters have successfully convinced me that the word &#8220;incel,&#8221; though it literally just means &#8220;involuntary celibate,&#8221; and was in fact <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2018\/apr\/25\/woman-who-invented-incel-movement-interview-toronto-attack\">coined by a woman<\/a> to describe her own experience, has been permanently disgraced by its association with violent misogynists and their online fan clubs.\u00a0 It will never again regain its original meaning, any more than &#8220;Adolf&#8221; will ever again be just a name; nor will one be able to discuss &#8220;moderate incels&#8221; as distinct from the extremist kind.\u00a0 People of conscience will need to be extremely vigilant against motte-and-bailey tactics&#8212;wherein society&#8217;s opinion-makers will express their desire for all &#8220;incels&#8221; to be silenced or fired or removed from the gene pool or whatever, obviously having in mind all romantically frustrated male nerds (all of whom they despise), and will fall back when challenged (and\u00a0<em>only<\/em>\u00a0when challenged) on the defense that they only meant the violence-loving misogynists.\u00a0 For those of us motivated by compassion rather than hatred, though, we need another word.\u00a0 I suggest the older term &#8220;love-shy,&#8221; coined by Brian Gilmartin in his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.love-shy.com\/gilmartin_book\/download.php?downloadbook=true\">book on the subject<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, be sure to check out <a href=\"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/?p=3766#comment-1764249\">this comment by &#8220;Sniffnoy&#8221;<\/a> for many insightful criticisms of this post, most of which I endorse.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;I call heaven and earth to witness against you this day, that I have set before thee life and death, the blessing and the curse: therefore choose life, that thou mayest live, thou and thy seed.&#8221; &#8211;Deuteronomy 30:19 &#8220;Remember your humanity, and forget the rest.&#8221; &#8211;Bertrand Russell and Albert Einstein, 1955 I first met Robin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-obviously-im-not-defending-aaronson"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3766"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3766\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3806,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3766\/revisions\/3806"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/scottaaronson.blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}